Once in a while, I'm given a glimpse 2-5
years into the future when it comes to business, technology, real estate and
social movement ... on the bleeding edge: · Future urban traffic signals will be like the computerized San
Jose Traffic Control Project (SJTCP, 1967), with detector reliability
a major problem - detector
reliability still a problem (1988) but many coming
to fruition (2000s) · Use Operations Research techniques to optimize vehicle routing (1971) - confirmed (1975) · Computer use for lab assignment computations (San Jose State University, 1968)
witnessed general use at University of
Colorado (1976) · Personal Rapid Transit (PRT- paper on
Santa Clara County CA transportation, 1971) Denver Metros RTD
created a plan for PRT system (1972) and residents voted for a sales
tax of 1/2% over the six counties
80% were earmarked for PRT construction
(1973)
unfortunately scrapped (probably as internally planned) - Growth
(1975) · Multi-type-criteria decision analysis (thesis,
1970-1973) · First Colorado chapter of Association for Computing Machinery's Special
Interest Group for Scientific Computing (SIGSCI, 1977) · Adapting modified cricket bowling for baseball pitching
(Littleton youth league, 1977) - not adopted, but research on the dangers of baseball-type pitching, especially for
youth, has come out this Century strongly in favor of alternatives. · PCs for engineering firms (3 years
before IBM's PC; CCC 1978; international
newsletter, ECAN
1979) · True cost of PCs 8-10% of hardware cost
per month (ECAN,
1980) well-documented
by Intel (2010) · Understanding (via familiar calculators)
and buying PCs (seminars,
books, articles, 1981) · Using spreadsheets (VisiCalc, Lotus
then Excel)
for contact databases and heavy computing applications, as well as
sell personal computers - engineering clients loved the control and
power (ECAN, 1979-1985) - confirmed for databases (1983), heavy computing applications (1983), and selling
PCs (1983) · Tablet-sized laptops will be
popular for speeches, remote reporting via telephone modem as well as general
applications (started using TRS-100, $1200, 1983) - confirmed (1986) · Geeks (vs jocks) rule the free world
(lectures, 1985) - confirmed (1998) · Software marketing via limited trial version (QuickSurf,
disks, 1986) · CrowdFunding for startup capital (raised $1200 in 2 weeks, in $50, 6-month loans, for business colloquium/networking
event, 1992) - pre-cursor to Fund Busting (1995) and KickStarter
(2009) · Mini-resume index card for large
networking events (Income Builders Int'l, 1992) - appeared in volume (2000) · Need for self-esteem reinforcement AV for children - (teamed with experts Lee Poulos and Jack Canfield to help develop and promote, 1993) - appeared later in the decade and beyond (1996) · Licensed-registered-certified-referral-only wellness network to
reduce healthcare costs and improve/save lives (CompWellness: books, 1996; helping bi-partisan Colorado
Alternative Medicine bill pass, 1997; holistic first aid for Y2K, 1998; 24/7
800 hotline to ensure holistic care availability, 1998; first national,
professional website, 1999) - confirmed and emulated (2000-) · Google beating Yahoo (1998) - confirmed (2005) · Content-based search engine optimization (Google Rank 0 to 4 in 12 months, CompWellness.biz,
2000) · Scalable webpages (work on several-sized
screens and devices; CompWellness.biz
and personal/client webpages, 2000) - strongly confirmed (2002) · Personal domain names for resume,
permanent email address and web presence (KentonJohnson.com,
2000) - confirmed (2002) · Online brochures that are faxable and
printable on letter paper or 2-sided cards (SitesCW.KentonHJohnson.com and Experience.KentonHJohnson.com, 2000) - confirmed (2006) · Computer / mobile skills necessary to
survive in business or as skilled worker (2000) - confirmed (2003) · Holistic homecare for the elderly to extend
enjoyable life and greatly reduce costs (mother and CompWellness team, 2004)
- confirmed (2008) · Executive collaborative networking versus
selling each other's connections (Collaborator.PSKHJ.com,
2004) - confirmed (2006) · Web 2.0 marketing (Great Offer, Get Information
Today, Market-Market-Market gently - 9:1 info:promo ratio) for the everyman (GOgitMMM
Report, 2005) - confirmed (2007) · Abundant use of free sub-domains to organize and enter websites
for 100s of pages of authored or referenced webpages (PersonalLinks.KentonHJohnson.com, 2005)
- confirmed (2007) · Residential real estate bubble crash
(divested all holdings, 2006) - confirmed (2008) · Continuously-running pictures - personal,
business, stock - as screen savers on all computers in normal surroundings to
stimulate memory and brain integration (for mother and family, 2004) - confirmed (2007) · Currency trading government interference (FxBetter.biz, 2007) - confirmed (2009) · ObamaCare will be shoved through Congress with
little attention to healthcare, wellness, prevention or the people it was
supposedly protecting (late 2008) - confirmed (2013) · Computer-web-mobile-cloud integration (ConsultComm.PSKHJ.com, 2008; in full
play on ITCapabilities-2D21C.ProsperSystems.biz,
2012) · Consulting for equity - Consultant,
Advisor, Director or Management Team for startups or operating companies (Sales.ProsperSystems.biz, 2009) - confirmed (2011) · Eco-friendly mineral processing will dominate
future mining (nanotechnologies, 2010) - confirmed (2013) · 7" tablet preference to 8-10"
(fits inside jacket pockets better - usually only 5" wide - 2010) - 7
popularity exceeds 10 (late 2013) - jury out on 7" vs 8" · Collaboration is the key to success for
this decade (Blog.ProsperSystems.biz -
Collaboration Network, 2011) appearing
more and more in business media, including Huffington
Post (2013) · Nouveau, highly-graphic resumes (KentonHJohnson.com. 2005) - confirmed (2011) · Corporate online resumes combining all the management
team (Resume.ProsperSystems.biz, 2013) 2013
Predictions: · Google forcing users to join Google+ to obtain certain Google
services creates a backlash. (May 2013) - confirmed
(Jan 2014) · As surviving retailers do to become the Go-To Place for all activity
in their venues, bookstores become search, sale, delivery and review
centers for new, used, specialized and rare print and electronic books and
periodicals, guiding boomers and other technically-challenged customers, as
well as offering other media-related services and products (May 2013) · Professionally-shot CD/DVDs for museums, zoos, tourist attractions
with profitable traffic to raise money and create high-quality
memories/documentation (Oct 2013) · Surround, four-wall video centers for like-you-are-there
travel, events, meetings, sales showings (Oct 2013) 2014
Predictions: · Vertical-Axis Wind Turbines (VAWT)
will overtake typical Horizontal-Axis Wind Turbines (HAWT) in new installations around the world in
terms of watt-hours produced due to adaptability (size, location, form),
smaller ground and height footprint, safer for humans and flying animals,
weight distribution, life-cycle costs, and eventually, efficiency (Jan 2014) 2015
Predictions: ·
Drone Service Companies - contract and Uber-like - will
start up all over the world for:
surveying remote and large/tall properties; custom package delivery;
aerial shots; inspecting difficult places to reach; with video and thermal/molecule-detection;
and more; for individuals, small- and even medium-sized organizations. (Jan 2015)
contract
services confirmed (Mid 2015) ·
On-Call On-Site
Video-Conference Professionals - for
interactive business meetings, conferences, trade shows or high-value
shopping Uber-like service to show up, set up high-quality audio and video,
ensure a strong internet connection, record, tear down the perhaps edit the
recording for re-broadcast. Allows
being there in one (perhaps more) distant places in a short timeframe, such
as meetings in several places around the country or world . Avoids technical problems encountered by
business people unfamiliar with all the aspects of high-quality online
audio-video production. (May 2015) 2016
Predictions: · Online public voting and virtual video-based legislatures will come to pass, allowing
full participation by voters and their representatives at all levels of
government, with cross-over for fast, public polling. Allows representatives to be physically
"with the people" in their venue but be available for each
committee and floor vote. (Jan 2016) |
